Phase 1, summary and data: Default 20mph speed limit on restricted roads

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Default 20mph speed limit on restricted roads

1. Introduction

This document summarises the monitoring data obtained from the 20mph phase 1 areas up to the end of May 2023. The data presented here is taken from the final monitoring report relating specifically to phase 1.

Future monitoring reports will cover the national default 20mph speed limit on ‘restricted roads’ which the Welsh Government introduced on 17 September 2023.¹

 

2. Objectives and key performance indicators

We published the national 20mph monitoring framework in September 2023.² This sets out five specific measurable objectives for 20mph speed limit implementation:

  • Reduce the number of pedestrians and cyclists killed or seriously injured on the road network.
  • Encourage mode shift from private car to walking and cycling for shorter journeys in built-up areas.
  • Reduce motor vehicle dominance in vehicle and pedestrian interactions.
  • Reduce carbon emissions from transport as a result of mode shift from private car to walking, wheeling and cycling for shorter journeys in built-up areas.
  • Maintain or improve local air quality due to smoother traffic speeds with less acceleration and deceleration.

Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) are the main set of metrics that are being used to monitor progress against the objectives. The following seven KPIs are assessed for the phase 1 areas:

  • Percentage traffic compliance with the 20mph speed limit (KPI 1.1)
  • Change in 85th percentile speed (KPI 1.2)³
  • Change in mean speed (KPI 1.3)
  • Vehicle journey times and journey time variation on main through routes (KPI 1.4). This uses the difference between the 5th percentile and 95th percentile journey times as a proxy for journey time reliability.
  • Change in attitude to active travel use in built-up areas (KPI 3.1)⁴
  • Change in vehicle and pedestrian yielding behaviours (KPI 3.2)
  • Change in local air quality based on nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentrations (KPI 4.1)

We are unable to report against the other five KPIs at this early stage in the 20mph programme. This is because of the limited geographical coverage of the phase 1 areas and the short timescales involved since implementation.

The KPIs not assessed in phase 1 are:

  • Casualty rates for pedestrians and cyclists (KPIs 2.1, 2.2, 2.3).
  • Change in carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions (KPI 4.2).
  • Change in public attitudes to 20mph speed limits (KPI 5.1).

¹ Restricted roads are defined by the Road Traffic Regulation Act 1984 as those with streetlights at least every 200 yards. Unless signed otherwise, the default speed limit on restricted roads was 30mph before 17 September 2023 and is now 20mph.
² Default 20mph speed limit on restricted roads: monitoring framework document, September 2023
³ The speed at which 85% of drivers drive at or below under free-flowing conditions.
⁴ Active travel refers to journeys being made by walking, wheeling and cycling.


 

3. Monitoring data summary

A KPI assessment summary based on data collected in the phase 1 areas up to May 2023 is provided in table 1.

Table 1: Final KPI assessment summary for phase 1 areas

KPI KPI description Final assessment Change*

1.1

Percentage traffic compliance
with the 20mph speed limit

65% travelling at or below 24mph
(50% pre-implementation)

++

1.2

Change in 85th percentile speed

85th percentile speed reduced (-3.0mph) ++

1.3

Change in mean speed

Mean speed reduced (-1.6mph)

+

1.4

Vehicle journey times and
journey time variation, based on
the difference between the 5th
and 95th percentile journey times
as a proxy for journey time
reliability, on main through
routes

All traffic combined - minor changes in
journey time variation, some positive
and some negative. Overall there has
been a marginal increase in journey
times.

Scheduled bus services - general
decrease in peak period service
punctuality with on time services
reducing by around six to thirteen
percentage points. Some services have
not experienced a decline in punctuality.

-

3.1

Change in attitude to active
travel use in built-up areas

Based on data collected during 2021/22
academic year: 51% increase in active
travel journeys to school in phase 1
areas, compared to 37% increase in
control locations. Sample size: 3,036
children

++

3.2

Change in vehicle and
pedestrian yielding behaviours

Tentative conclusion: fewer vehicles
speeding up when approaching
pedestrians in phase 1 areas

+

4.1

Change in local air quality - NO₂

No material effect identified to date

0

* Change compared to the situation pre-implementation: ++ (large positive), + (slight positive), 0 (no discernible change), - (slight negative), - - (large negative).

 

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